Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.007768 0.009070 0.010619 0.012623 0.015189 0.018423 0.022908
2025-10-05 0.006433 0.008119 0.010365 0.013684 0.018670 0.026269 0.039628
2025-10-12 0.005544 0.007351 0.009943 0.014142 0.021245 0.033869 0.061426
2025-10-19 0.004799 0.006581 0.009273 0.013934 0.022567 0.039975 0.086255
2025-10-26 0.004317 0.006092 0.008895 0.014048 0.024435 0.048175 0.126609
2025-11-02 0.003879 0.005594 0.008398 0.013799 0.025470 0.055216 0.176501
2025-11-09 0.003440 0.005033 0.007698 0.013001 0.025036 0.058286 0.219191
2025-11-16 0.003102 0.004597 0.007151 0.012385 0.024821 0.061973 0.277549
2025-11-23 0.002921 0.004403 0.007005 0.012550 0.026585 0.073532 0.439376
2025-11-30 0.002715 0.004142 0.006697 0.012306 0.027199 0.081722 0.638771
2025-12-07 0.002510 0.003864 0.006325 0.011849 0.027073 0.087027 0.872418
2025-12-14 0.002359 0.003669 0.006090 0.011663 0.027704 0.096708 1.375848
2025-12-21 0.002269 0.003588 0.006095 0.012117 0.030808 0.125449 4.208424
2025-12-28 0.002231 0.003602 0.006298 0.013135 0.036585 0.187317 78.606689
2026-01-04 0.002146 0.003515 0.006276 0.013569 0.040594 0.254102 NaN
2026-01-11 0.002022 0.003342 0.006047 0.013372 0.041921 0.302949 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001932 0.003228 0.005931 0.013480 0.044785 0.392876 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001828 0.003077 0.005716 0.013244 0.045897 0.469321 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001702 0.002872 0.005354 0.012490 0.043934 0.475713 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001596 0.002702 0.005061 0.011907 0.042681 0.497889 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001543 0.002636 0.005004 0.012063 0.045726 0.676321 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001473 0.002528 0.004837 0.011832 0.046397 0.803847 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001396 0.002404 0.004621 0.011399 0.045602 0.872356 NaN